Revolving-Spat

0xf884abcd2b915eb016238ed842422d8e1672f5b2

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Revolving-Spat: −$905 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$905
return −42.6%
Settled bets
2
$2.1K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 1 – Oct 16
−$905
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7% (2,012 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY @ 61¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino $9.6K
Oct 10 BUY @ 55¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges $5.4K
Oct 3 BUY Denis Shapovalov @ 57¢ Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo ↗ $2.1K
Oct 3 SELL Bruins @ 47¢
Bruins vs. Jets
Bruins vs. Jets $2.2K
Oct 1 SELL @ 99.92¢
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie AND Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie AND Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen $1.5K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed