Wee-Department

0xf706dd3e75c86062f254a981dc962e15cdb9f685

Skill vs luck

Wee-Department on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–56%) · profit −$199. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Wee-Department: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xf706dd3e75c86062f254a981dc962e15cdb9f685. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Wee-Department: −$199 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$199
return —
Settled bets
3
$0 staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–56%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 5 – Sep 22
−$1
Sep 22 – Oct 8
−$1
Oct 8 – Oct 25
−$197
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −8.9% (2,417 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 24 SELL Yes @ 89¢ Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24? ↗ $1.6K
Sep 27 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?
Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27? $1.1K
Sep 5 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score $1.1K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792911646, computed 2026-10-25 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792911646 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed