Urban-Honeybee

0xf5fe759cece500f58a431ef8dacea321f6e3e23d

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Urban-Honeybee: +$2.5K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$2.5K
return +29.2%
Settled bets
4
$8.6K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 3
−$3.7K
Oct 1 – Oct 16
+$6.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7% (2,012 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 15 SELL Maja Chwalinska @ 27¢ Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Maja Chwalinska ↗ $1.3K
Oct 15 BUY Maja Chwalinska @ 27¢ Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Maja Chwalinska ↗ $3.6K
Sep 15 BUY Pierluigi Basile @ 48¢
Biella: Pierluigi Basile vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
Biella: Pierluigi Basile vs Joao Lucas Da Silva $8.2K
Sep 12 BUY Smith @ 46¢
Set 1 Winner: Smith vs Tikhonova
Set 1 Winner: Smith vs Tikhonova $1.1K
Sep 12 BUY Alana Smith @ 42¢
Sao Paulo Open, Qualification: Alana Smith vs Anastasia Tikhonova
Sao Paulo Open, Qualification: Alana Smith vs Anastasia Tikhonova $5.3K
Aug 30 BUY Marin Cilic @ 36¢
US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev
US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev $2.3K
Aug 30 BUY Marin Cilic @ 28¢
US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev
US Open ATP: Marin Cilic vs Andrey Rublev $4.2K
Aug 25 BUY Under @ 14¢
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 23.5
Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 23.5 $1.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed