Adventurous-Warmth
0xf39338bb81884eb6a755832805bfdb5967239b65
Adventurous-Warmth: +$509 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$509
return +8.7%
Settled bets
6
$5.8K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$480
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$32
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$2
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | SELL HANJIN BRION
@ 99.9¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $2.0K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Invictus Gaming
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | $3.5K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Invictus Gaming
@ 54¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Bilibili Gaming
@ 84¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs |
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | $3.3K |
| Sep 13 | SELL Gen.G
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | $3.4K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Invictus Gaming
@ 51¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | $2.0K |
| Sep 1 | BUY Gen.G
@ 69¢
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | $1.1K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.