Warlike-Cirrus
0xf163625aa894e79b73629926992e142b740eca34
Warlike-Cirrus: +$11K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 53% (95% range 30%–75%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$11K
return +51.0%
Settled bets
15
$22K staked
Won
53.3%
95% range 30%–75%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$392
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$11K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | SELL JD Gaming
@ 99¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | $3.6K |
| Sep 18 | SELL JD Gaming
@ 92¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | $1.4K |
| Sep 16 | BUY JSK Esports
@ 27¢
LoL: Pyramid IV Esports vs JSK Esports (BO5) - Arabian League Playoffs |
LoL: Pyramid IV Esports vs JSK Esports (BO5) - Arabian League Playoffs | $4.3K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Hanwha Life Esports
@ 50¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Hanwha Life Esports
@ 50¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Anyones Legend
@ 47¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.9K |
| Sep 9 | BUY NRG Esports
@ 59¢
LoL: Maryville University vs NRG Esports - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Maryville University vs NRG Esports - Game 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Sep 8 | BUY KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
@ 98¢
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 3 Winner | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.