0xf12E…882A
Skill vs luck
0xf12E…882A on Limitless: 14 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 27%–73%) · profit +$305. Skill vs luck: can't be told from luck. Copying the top 20% of Limitless whales returned −16.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0xf12E…882A: Limitless record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xf12e25e8b19b303ee0a0ad43653ab787eb96882a. Data CC BY 4.0.
0xf12E…882A: +$305 on 14 settled Limitless bets since Sep 5, won 50% (95% range 27%–73%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $50+ bets since Sep 5, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 5 – Sep 22
- +$318
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$12
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes @ 36¢ | Napoli ↗ | $98 |
| Oct 24 | SELL Yes
@ 26¢
Stoke City |
Stoke City | $99 |
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes
@ 44¢
Stoke City |
Stoke City | $166 |
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes
@ 42¢
Manchester City |
Manchester City | $100 |
| Oct 23 | BUY Yes
@ 47¢
Torino |
Torino | $131 |
| Oct 22 | BUY Yes
@ 35¢
Beşiktaş |
Beşiktaş | $114 |
| Oct 18 | BUY Yes
@ 50¢
Lyon |
Lyon | $113 |
| Oct 18 | BUY Yes
@ 56¢
Arsenal |
Arsenal | $150 |
Its last 8 captured bets of $50+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?