Bountiful-Egg
Skill vs luck
Bountiful-Egg on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 25% (95% range 5%–70%) · profit −$524. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Bountiful-Egg: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xf11e489cb34d97c3457ba7404f0e82ef6956b16a. Data CC BY 4.0.
Bountiful-Egg: −$524 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- −$524
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 69¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A | $1.3K |
| Oct 26 | SELL Team Liquid @ 99.9¢ | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $6.4K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Team Yandex @ 92¢ | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 26 | SELL GamerLegion @ 99.9¢ | Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $3.3K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?