Oval-Graph

0xefcbc9a7d36584a604e4673dbe8b69a33862c215

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Oval-Graph: −$26 on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 8%–64%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$26
return −0.7%
Settled bets
7
$3.6K staked
Won
28.6%
95% range 8%–64%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1
Sep 6 – Sep 24
−$25
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 18 SELL Bounty Hunters Esports @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs $1.5K
Sep 18 SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $1.5K
Sep 18 BUY Vitality @ 69¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $1.1K
Sep 18 SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $1.2K
Sep 18 BUY MIBR @ 65¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner $1.4K
Sep 18 BUY MOUZ @ 58¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $1.2K
Sep 18 SELL Liquid @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Infinite (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Infinite (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B $1.8K
Sep 4 SELL Nemiga @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Brute (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Brute (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed