Loathsome-Counterforce-Sentence
Skill vs luck
Loathsome-Counterforce-Sentence on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 20% (95% range 4%–62%) · profit −$6.9K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Loathsome-Counterforce-Sentence: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xefbceb0686b02190308da1c94796df3df595ba15. Data CC BY 4.0.
Loathsome-Counterforce-Sentence: −$6.9K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- −$6.9K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | BUY Team Liquid @ 64¢ | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $2.6K |
| Oct 23 | SELL GamerLegion @ 38¢ | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.9K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Team Liquid @ 71¢ | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 15 | SELL Skyreavers
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Skyreavers (BO3) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs |
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Skyreavers (BO3) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Oct 15 | BUY Skyreavers
@ 99¢
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Skyreavers - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Skyreavers - Game 1 Winner | $1.4K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?