Big-Perp
Skill vs luck
Big-Perp on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$190. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 22, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Big-Perp: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 22, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xeeebed886561422deeceb2b21819aeb53b6e1157. Data CC BY 4.0.
Big-Perp: −$190 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 6 – Oct 22
- −$190
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | SELL Mary Stoiana @ 87¢ | Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima ↗ | $1.3K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?