Dishonest-Onset
0xee0bcf86a719c9c1023906718034cca17498e6d4
Dishonest-Onset: −$22K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 9%–53%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$22K
return −39.3%
Settled bets
12
$55K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 9%–53%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$11K
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- −$9.3K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$1.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | BUY Under
@ 49¢
Jets Team Total: O/U 20.5 |
Jets Team Total: O/U 20.5 | $1.4K |
| Sep 19 | BUY LSU
@ 43¢
Spread: LSU (-3.5) |
Spread: LSU (-3.5) | $7.9K |
| Sep 19 | BUY LSU
@ 43¢
Spread: LSU (-3.5) |
Spread: LSU (-3.5) | $1.9K |
| Sep 19 | BUY LSU
@ 43¢
Spread: LSU (-3.5) |
Spread: LSU (-3.5) | $5.4K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Giga Chikadze
@ 21¢
UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims) |
UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims) | $2.1K |
| Sep 18 | SELL No
@ 65¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | $1.8K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 55¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? |
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | $11K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Over
@ 46¢
Delaware State vs. William & Mary: O/U 56.5 |
Delaware State vs. William & Mary: O/U 56.5 | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.