Experienced-Catcher-Dog-Ferret-Airbus-Thaw

0xeddb6db069107fa25635c5ce0e72d56e5dbf41bc

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Experienced-Catcher-Dog-Ferret-Airbus-Thaw: +$6.3K on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 87% (95% range 68%–96%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$6.3K
return +6.7%
Settled bets
23
$94K staked
Won
87.0%
95% range 68%–96%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 22 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$3.2K
Sep 6 – Sep 24
−$660
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$3.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY @ 85¢
Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-10-11? AND Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven win on 2026-10-11?
Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-10-11? AND Will Oud-Heverlee Leuven win on 2026-10-11? $8.9K
Oct 10 BUY No @ 89¢
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10?
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10? $10K
Oct 3 BUY No @ 81¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-03?
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-03? $7.1K
Oct 1 BUY No @ 95¢
Will Serbia win on 2026-10-01?
Will Serbia win on 2026-10-01? $8.1K
Sep 25 BUY Yes @ 67¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? $10K
Sep 24 BUY No @ 96¢
Will Wales win on 2026-09-24?
Will Wales win on 2026-09-24? $9.9K
Sep 21 BUY Yes @ 50¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? $10K
Sep 20 BUY G2 Esports @ 69¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs $2.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed