Unfortunate-Metronome-Crumb

0xeb3e6f0e7f149c5dad8c11832ed06c23ca9f1fbb

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Unfortunate-Metronome-Crumb: +$92 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$92
return +7.5%
Settled bets
2
$1.2K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 7 – Sep 25
−$1
Sep 25 – Oct 14
+$93
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.7% (2,280 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 13 BUY Team WE @ 93¢
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner $1.2K
Sep 18 SELL JD Gaming @ 99.9¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs $1.3K

All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791961222, computed 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791961222 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed