Traumatic-Barrage
0xeac7a7a8c000e0d46a10c341adfbd8cffb611531
Traumatic-Barrage: −$13K on 17 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 18% (95% range 6%–41%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$13K
return −46.4%
Settled bets
17
$29K staked
Won
17.6%
95% range 6%–41%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$3.7K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$9.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 47¢
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2026-10-09? |
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2026-10-09? | $2.7K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Tiago Pereira
@ 52¢
Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira |
Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira | $4.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 |
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 | $6.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY FURIA
@ 34¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $1.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Luka Mikrut
@ 25¢
Braga: Vilius Gaubas vs Luka Mikrut |
Braga: Vilius Gaubas vs Luka Mikrut | $2.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Iga Swiatek
@ 36¢
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek |
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek | $3.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Karen Khachanov
@ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery | $7.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Novak Djokovic
@ 31¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz | $3.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.