Authorized-Somewhere-Yoga
Skill vs luck
Authorized-Somewhere-Yoga on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 29% (95% range 8%–64%) · profit −$9.7K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 22, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Authorized-Somewhere-Yoga: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 22, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe6bff499390d0988f81967d095925b44aad38380. Data CC BY 4.0.
Authorized-Somewhere-Yoga: −$9.7K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 8%–64%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$4.9K
- Sep 20 – Oct 6
- +$2.7K
- Oct 6 – Oct 22
- −$7.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | BUY Golden State Valkyries @ 49¢ | Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 57¢
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-10-09? |
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-10-09? | $3.4K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Under
@ 49¢
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 170.5 |
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 170.5 | $2.0K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Atlanta Dream
@ 43¢
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) |
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) | $2.0K |
| Aug 29 | BUY BK Hacken
@ 47¢
Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5) |
Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5) | $1.3K |
| Aug 26 | BUY Under
@ 49¢
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5 |
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 167.5 | $5.0K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?