Celebrated-Collagen

0xe49da39e921cdbda393b075e15abb72ea663c3db

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Celebrated-Collagen: −$5.1K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 3%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$5.1K
return −67.9%
Settled bets
6
$7.5K staked
Won
16.7%
95% range 3%–56%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 7 – Sep 25
−$2.1K
Sep 25 – Oct 14
−$3.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.7% (2,280 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 13 BUY LGD Gaming @ 71¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs $1.4K
Oct 13 BUY FlyQuest @ 62¢
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner $1.3K
Oct 13 BUY Team WE @ 73¢
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs $1.8K
Oct 13 BUY FlyQuest @ 41¢
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs $1.0K
Oct 6 SELL LGD Gaming @ 99.9¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner $1.0K
Sep 20 BUY T1 Academy @ 91¢
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A $2.1K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791961222, computed 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791961222 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed