Lasting-Pendulum
Skill vs luck
Lasting-Pendulum on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$2. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 22, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Lasting-Pendulum: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 22, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe3bcf32c8ecad255b847ffe36cb5f8b4f82fec8e. Data CC BY 4.0.
Lasting-Pendulum: −$2 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 6 – Oct 22
- −$2
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | SELL Iva Jovic @ 95¢ | Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolini ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 14 | SELL
@ 53¢
Roanne: Mika Brunold vs Benjamin Bonzi AND Olbia: Luca Nardi vs Lorenzo Carboni |
Roanne: Mika Brunold vs Benjamin Bonzi AND Olbia: Luca Nardi vs Lorenzo Carboni | $1.0K |
| Oct 13 | SELL Jacob Fearnley
@ 99.9¢
Olbia: Jacob Fearnley vs George Loffhagen |
Olbia: Jacob Fearnley vs George Loffhagen | $2.1K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?