Capital-Rack-Lizard
Skill vs luck
Capital-Rack-Lizard on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 15%–85%) · profit +$270. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Capital-Rack-Lizard: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe2e2e546ac4559306bc8672eb2443be66081b67c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Capital-Rack-Lizard: +$270 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$270
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 0.5 ↗ | $3.3K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Over @ 87¢ | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 0.5 ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 0.5 |
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 0.5 | $5.2K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Over
@ 93¢
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 0.5 |
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 0.5 | $1.6K |
| Oct 14 | BUY
@ 85¢
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 0.5 AND Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Porto: O/U 0.5 AND AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5 |
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 0.5 AND Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Porto: O/U 0.5 AND AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 14 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
LASK Linz vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5 |
LASK Linz vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5 | $1.1K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?