Wobbly-Cornet-Icebreaker
Skill vs luck
Wobbly-Cornet-Icebreaker on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit +$1.6K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Wobbly-Cornet-Icebreaker: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe0bf7ab5b11dcbdbb169638cacf43edaa540d7fe. Data CC BY 4.0.
Wobbly-Cornet-Icebreaker: +$1.6K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$1
- Sep 23 – Oct 10
- +$1.3K
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$272
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | BUY GamerLegion @ 95¢ | Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A ↗ | $5.0K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Team Synapse
@ 55¢
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs | $1.6K |
| Sep 3 | SELL Juan Manuel La Serna
@ 99.9¢
Plovdiv 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Juan Manuel La Serna |
Plovdiv 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Juan Manuel La Serna | $1.3K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?