0xe020…f39b
Skill vs luck
0xe020…f39b on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 25% (95% range 5%–70%) · profit −$5.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 19, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0xe020…f39b: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 19, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe02066958cfd02ee1fc8a4cdb51b56a1ca50f39b. Data CC BY 4.0.
0xe020…f39b: −$5.2K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 4 – Oct 19
- −$5.2K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | BUY Under
@ 65¢
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5 |
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5 | $2.0K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Under @ 51¢ | Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 ↗ | $1.7K |
| Oct 14 | BUY Under
@ 55¢
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5 |
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5 | $2.1K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Borussia Mönchengladbach
@ 74¢
Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5) |
Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5) | $1.5K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?