Extroverted-Eyeball
Skill vs luck
Extroverted-Eyeball on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–56%) · profit −$1.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Extroverted-Eyeball: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe0182fffcbc0ba5822dd0bbe49b9d505d2b81b18. Data CC BY 4.0.
Extroverted-Eyeball: −$1.2K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- −$1.2K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | SELL FURIA Esports @ 99.9¢ | LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner ↗ | $5.1K |
| Oct 16 | BUY Cloud9 @ 74¢ | LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 15 | SELL HANJIN BRION @ 91¢ | LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner ↗ | $1.0K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?