Envious-Execution
Skill vs luck
Envious-Execution on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit +$303. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 21, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Envious-Execution: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 21, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xde00680870f7d60b7cb016af0be60cedb6c56879. Data CC BY 4.0.
Envious-Execution: +$303 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 5 – Oct 21
- +$303
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5 ↗ | $3.2K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Over
@ 83¢
Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 6.5 |
Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 6.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 11 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5 |
Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5 | $1.1K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?