Intelligent-Length
Skill vs luck
Intelligent-Length on Polymarket: 17 settled bets · won 35% (95% range 17%–59%) · profit −$1.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Intelligent-Length: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xdb5ad26b68d77ae966d29e7180147272ab7a3965. Data CC BY 4.0.
Intelligent-Length: −$1.1K on 17 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 35% (95% range 17%–59%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 5
- −$1.2K
- Sep 5 – Sep 21
- +$147
- Sep 21 – Oct 7
- +$32
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- −$95
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | BUY No @ 93¢ | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22? ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | SELL No
@ 95¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9? | $2.0K |
| Oct 2 | SELL Yes
@ 93¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 3? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 3? | $1.0K |
| Sep 29 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 30? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 30? | $1.8K |
| Sep 28 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28? | $1.4K |
| Sep 19 | SELL No
@ 96¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19? | $1.6K |
| Sep 18 | SELL No
@ 97¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? | $1.3K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 16? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 16? | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?