0xD9dA…E966

0xD9dAb863691eCa0726A917170da0F834011bE966

Limitless

Can't tell from luck Check it on Limitless ↗

0xD9dA…E966: −$1.3K on 22 settled Limitless bets since Sep 5, won 73% (95% range 52%–87%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$1.3K
return −7.3%
Settled bets
22
$18K staked
Won
72.7%
95% range 52%–87%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 22 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $50+ bets since Sep 5, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 25 – Oct 15
−$1.3K
Settled profit in each period since Sep 5 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Limitless whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −64.0% (167 positions).

In the live feed

BUY $1.0K
bought No @ 99.9¢ → won (+$1)
BUY $1.0K
bought No @ 99.9¢ → won (+$1)
BUY $1.0K
bought No @ 99.9¢ → won (+$1)
BUY $1.0K
bought No @ 99.9¢ → won (+$1)
BUY $2.0K
bought No @ 99.9¢ → won (+$2)
BUY $70
bought Yes @ 7¢ → lost (−$70)
BUY $2.0K
bought Yes @ 94¢ → won (+$122)
BUY $75
bought Yes @ 86¢ → won (+$12)
BUY $1.0K
bought Yes @ 99.9¢ → won (+$1)
BUY $999
bought Yes @ 99.9¢ → won (+$1)
BUY $1.0K
bought No @ 99.9¢ → won (+$1)
BUY $2.0K
bought No @ 99.9¢ → won (+$2)
BUY $187
bought No @ 24¢ → lost (−$187)

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 14 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Derby
Derby $1.0K
Oct 14 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Draw
Draw $1.0K
Oct 14 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Lincoln
Lincoln $1.0K
Oct 14 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Draw
Draw $1.0K
Oct 14 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Lask Linz
Lask Linz $2.0K
Oct 14 BUY Yes @ 7¢
Aryna Sabalenka vs Ann Li
Aryna Sabalenka vs Ann Li $70
Oct 14 BUY Yes @ 96¢
Ashlyn Krueger vs Lanlana Tararudee
Ashlyn Krueger vs Lanlana Tararudee $960
Oct 14 BUY Yes @ 93¢
Ashlyn Krueger vs Lanlana Tararudee
Ashlyn Krueger vs Lanlana Tararudee $520

Its last 8 captured bets of $50+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792047640, computed 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792047640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed