0xD8ae…6186
Skill vs luck
0xD8ae…6186 on Limitless: 20 settled bets · won 40% (95% range 22%–61%) · profit +$432. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Limitless whales returned −15.6% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0xD8ae…6186: Limitless record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xd8aee9e3f05d6cf8f7ce51782d08d53159766186. Data CC BY 4.0.
0xD8ae…6186: +$432 on 20 settled Limitless bets since Sep 5, won 40% (95% range 22%–61%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $50+ bets since Sep 5, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 24
- +$432
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | BUY No
@ 56¢
Plzen |
Plzen | $100 |
| Oct 22 | BUY Yes
@ 21¢
Levski Sofia |
Levski Sofia | $100 |
| Oct 22 | SELL No
@ 67¢
Atalanta |
Atalanta | $89 |
| Oct 22 | BUY No
@ 73¢
Atalanta |
Atalanta | $100 |
| Oct 22 | BUY Yes
@ 56¢
SC Braga |
SC Braga | $100 |
| Oct 22 | SELL No
@ 62¢
Sunderland |
Sunderland | $179 |
| Oct 22 | BUY No
@ 32¢
flagged Sunderland |
Sunderland | $100 |
| Oct 22 | BUY Yes
@ 24¢
Draw |
Draw | $100 |
Its last 8 captured bets of $50+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?