Hideous-Plea

0xd8644051d1749bf5771cddf2f822fb7e986a497e

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Hideous-Plea: +$891 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$891
return +17.8%
Settled bets
6
$5.0K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 10%–70%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 3 – Sep 17
−$1.4K
Sep 17 – Oct 1
+$1.6K
Oct 1 – Oct 16
+$657
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7% (2,012 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 14 SELL Liverpool FC @ 99.9¢ Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) ↗ $2.0K
Oct 8 BUY Cowboys @ 61¢
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) $1.1K
Oct 7 SELL Spirit @ 99.9¢
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) $1.6K
Oct 6 BUY Aurora Gaming @ 38¢ Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage ↗ $1.1K
Sep 19 BUY Ole Miss @ 49¢ Spread: LSU (-2.5) ↗ $1.5K
Sep 17 BUY Lions @ 33¢ Lions vs. Bills ↗ $1.4K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed