Worrisome-Edge
Skill vs luck
Worrisome-Edge on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$1.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 19, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Worrisome-Edge: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 19, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xd5c31674b99ccd38c64c259b4a76ad82359613e5. Data CC BY 4.0.
Worrisome-Edge: +$1.4K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1
- Oct 4 – Oct 19
- +$1.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | BUY LOUD @ 59¢ | Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs ↗ | $2.0K |
| Aug 21 | SELL Team Yandex @ 99.9¢ | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.1K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?