Huge-Curtain
Skill vs luck
Huge-Curtain on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–49%) · profit −$4.6K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Huge-Curtain: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xd3c87273dd05eb91385e7debecf3f490c7d38b58. Data CC BY 4.0.
Huge-Curtain: −$4.6K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–49%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- −$4.6K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | BUY Anyones Legend @ 67¢ | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 82¢ | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.6K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Patriots @ 41¢ | Patriots vs. Bears ↗ | $1.9K |
| Oct 15 | SELL Karmine Corp @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY
@ 17¢
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5) AND Spread: Miami (FL) (-21.5) AND Florida vs. Missouri AND Spread: Texas A&M (-4.5) AND UTSA vs. Rice AND Texas Tech vs. Colorado AND Auburn vs. Tennessee |
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5) AND Spread: Miami (FL) (-21.5) AND Florida vs. Missouri AND Spread: Texas A&M (-4.5) AND UTSA vs. Rice AND Texas Tech vs. Colorado AND Auburn vs. Tennessee | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY
@ 10¢
Spread: Texas A&M (-3.5) AND Spread: Ohio State (-3.5) AND Michigan vs. Minnesota AND Florida vs. Missouri AND Maryland vs. Nebraska AND UTSA vs. Rice AND Texas Tech vs. Colorado AND Syracuse vs. UConn AND UCF vs. Houston |
Spread: Texas A&M (-3.5) AND Spread: Ohio State (-3.5) AND Michigan vs. Minnesota AND Florida vs. Missouri AND Maryland vs. Nebraska AND UTSA vs. Rice AND Texas Tech vs. Colorado AND Syracuse vs. UConn AND UCF vs. Houston | $2.7K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?