0xd244…eb3e
Skill vs luck
0xd244…eb3e on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$30. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0xd244…eb3e: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xd24415f4df9cb98fbdac5fb24ae561b8197eeb3e. Data CC BY 4.0.
0xd244…eb3e: −$30 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- −$30
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | SELL Yes @ 99¢ | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27? ↗ | $3.0K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?