Flashy-Mark
Skill vs luck
Flashy-Mark on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$110. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Flashy-Mark: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xd0a44779708da9bf620a63110e713f4cbc510cc0. Data CC BY 4.0.
Flashy-Mark: +$110 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$110
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Team Yandex @ 95¢ | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 11 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: Vitória SC O/U 2.5 |
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC: Vitória SC O/U 2.5 | $1.0K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?