Wrathful-Bottom
Skill vs luck
Wrathful-Bottom on Polymarket: 9 settled bets · won 22% (95% range 6%–55%) · profit −$1.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Wrathful-Bottom: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xce8250076efd967c08495dadaff84220e50a03d3. Data CC BY 4.0.
Wrathful-Bottom: −$1.4K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 22% (95% range 6%–55%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$1.1K
- Sep 23 – Oct 10
- −$4
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- −$295
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | BUY BetBoom Team @ 64¢ | Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Royal Bear
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Royal Bear vs Xipto Esports - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Royal Bear vs Xipto Esports - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 16 | SELL PuckChamp
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winner | $2.3K |
| Oct 13 | BUY Power Rangers
@ 59¢
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Vitality @ 85¢ | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Games Total: O/U 4.5 |
Games Total: O/U 4.5 | $1.2K |
| Sep 28 | SELL GamerLegion
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: magic vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner | $2.3K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?