Kosher-Tuxedo

0xcd8f05e07d280a35a22258954dabfa8394094dc1

Skill vs luck

Kosher-Tuxedo on Polymarket: 14 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 79%–100%) · profit +$1.1K. Skill vs luck: can't be told from luck. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 22, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Kosher-Tuxedo: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 22, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xcd8f05e07d280a35a22258954dabfa8394094dc1. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Kosher-Tuxedo: +$1.1K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 79%–100%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit

+$1.1K

return +4.0%

Settled bets

$26K staked

Won

100.0%

95% range 79%–100%

Mostly bets on

sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period

Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$273
Oct 6 – Oct 22: +$777

Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.

Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (1,982 positions).

Latest captured bets

When	Bet	Market	Size
Oct 18	BUY BetBoom Team @ 99¢ Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 3 Winner	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 3 Winner	$1.8K
Oct 18	BUY Bianca Andreescu @ 96¢ Rovereto: Bianca Andreescu vs Dominika Salkova	Rovereto: Bianca Andreescu vs Dominika Salkova	$3.3K
Oct 16	BUY FlyQuest @ 96¢ Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Off Chops (BO3) - Logitech G Pro Series Group B	Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Off Chops (BO3) - Logitech G Pro Series Group B	$1.3K
Oct 16	BUY Nicolas Kicker @ 94¢ Santa Cruz 2: Nicolas Kicker vs Facundo Mena	Santa Cruz 2: Nicolas Kicker vs Facundo Mena	$1.8K
Oct 15	BUY FURIA @ 83¢ Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	$1.7K
Oct 14	BUY Jets @ 99.9¢ Wild vs. Jets	Wild vs. Jets	$2.9K
Oct 9	BUY Buccaneers @ 96¢ Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys ↗	$1.5K
Oct 9	BUY Hurricanes @ 99.7¢ Canucks vs. Hurricanes	Canucks vs. Hurricanes	$1.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?

About this data · run 1792652408, computed 2026-10-22 07:00 UTC

Source: hopium_compute run 1792652408 (PG metrics_*)

Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
latest window has the most unresolved markets
Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed