Unusual-Bloom
Skill vs luck
Unusual-Bloom on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$13. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Unusual-Bloom: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xcc96717f507249d59b394f4c28f079024f5ed916. Data CC BY 4.0.
Unusual-Bloom: −$13 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- −$13
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | SELL Metizport
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 22 | SELL TheMongolz @ 99¢ | Counter-Strike: BIG vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs ↗ | $1.1K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?