Lumpy-Marmalade
0xcb987ce33f72146858d8da39b11d3f37b1e5b473
Lumpy-Marmalade: −$3.9K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 11% (95% range 2%–44%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$3.9K
return −66.5%
Settled bets
9
$5.9K staked
Won
11.1%
95% range 2%–44%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 7
- +$518
- Sep 7 – Sep 25
- −$3.0K
- Sep 25 – Oct 13
- −$1.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6%
(2,332 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY Yes
@ 74¢
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-11? |
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-11? | $1.5K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: AS Roma O/U 1.5 |
AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: AS Roma O/U 1.5 | $2.9K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No
@ 67¢
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-09-19? | $1.3K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Samsunspor vs. Çorum FK: O/U 4.5 |
Samsunspor vs. Çorum FK: O/U 4.5 | $3.0K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yes
@ 80¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? | $1.6K |
| Sep 11 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Beşiktaş JK vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 1.5 |
Beşiktaş JK vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 1.5 | $5.0K |
| Sep 9 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 |
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 | $5.6K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Over
@ 74¢
Istanbulspor AS vs. Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul: O/U 1.5 |
Istanbulspor AS vs. Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul: O/U 1.5 | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.