Super-Aperitif-Menu
Skill vs luck
Super-Aperitif-Menu on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$1. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Super-Aperitif-Menu: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xc73133aa487dbd85e589e8b5a2dc7111b9316981. Data CC BY 4.0.
Super-Aperitif-Menu: −$1 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$1
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | SELL Utah @ 99.9¢ | Houston vs. Utah ↗ | $1.5K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?