Dreary-Fellow

0xc6adb97b36585e6f55260163787347e147561b86

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Dreary-Fellow: −$10K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$10K
return −106.8%
Settled bets
6
$9.5K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$420
Sep 6 – Sep 24
−$4.4K
Sep 24 – Oct 12
−$6.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY 49ers @ 67¢
Broncos vs. 49ers
Broncos vs. 49ers $1.1K
Oct 4 BUY Broncos @ 50¢
Broncos vs. 49ers
Broncos vs. 49ers $1.0K
Oct 4 SELL Cowboys @ 42¢
Cowboys vs. Texans
Cowboys vs. Texans $4.2K
Sep 26 BUY Atlanta Braves @ 96¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins $1.9K
Sep 20 BUY Jaguars @ 44¢
Jaguars vs. Broncos
Jaguars vs. Broncos $4.4K
Aug 23 BUY No @ 72¢
Will Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
Will Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? $1.1K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed