Hidden-Stamp
0xc576775ef9167ddc38ee6a4e537545ab73d0b9d2
Hidden-Stamp: −$12K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$12K
return −73.4%
Settled bets
3
$16K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 7 – Sep 25
- −$14K
- Sep 25 – Oct 14
- +$2.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.7%
(2,280 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | BUY Milwaukee Brewers
@ 46¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers | $2.0K |
| Oct 12 | BUY Qinwen Zheng
@ 51¢
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Qinwen Zheng |
Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Qinwen Zheng | $2.0K |
| Oct 11 | SELL Jaguars
@ 99.9¢
Eagles vs. Jaguars |
Eagles vs. Jaguars | $1.9K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Yes
@ 14¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $1.0K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Yes
@ 12¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $10K |
| Sep 14 | BUY Yes
@ 20¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | $3.0K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.