Stable-Role

0xc4f7aea6ab81ed8d2314d51bd3d9c14cf598a5e1

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Stable-Role: −$5.6K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 11% (95% range 2%–44%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$5.6K
return −76.5%
Settled bets
9
$7.3K staked
Won
11.1%
95% range 2%–44%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1.9K
Sep 6 – Sep 24
−$3.7K
Sep 24 – Oct 12
−$4
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 SELL Team WE @ 99.9¢
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner $3.8K
Sep 20 BUY Movistar KOI @ 7¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs $1.8K
Sep 20 BUY Movistar KOI @ 34¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner $1.2K
Sep 17 SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner $2.5K
Sep 13 SELL Gen.G @ 99.9¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner $1.7K
Sep 13 BUY Gen.G @ 58¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winner $1.0K
Sep 12 BUY Invictus Gaming @ 52¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs $1.5K
Sep 2 SELL Hanwha Life Esports @ 99.9¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $1.6K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed