Hearty-Sprat
0xc2dbb83dd39f9d604dbc5eee1f541baaee996865
Hearty-Sprat: +$249 on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 94% (95% range 74%–99%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$249
return +0.4%
Settled bets
18
$65K staked
Won
94.4%
95% range 74%–99%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- +$63
- Sep 3 – Sep 18
- +$32
- Sep 18 – Oct 2
- −$254
- Oct 2 – Oct 17
- +$408
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7%
(2,007 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | BUY No
@ 99.26¢
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15? |
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15? | $5.9K |
| Oct 15 | BUY Cloud9 @ 99¢ | LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $5.8K |
| Oct 15 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 14? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 14? | $3.4K |
| Oct 14 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 13? |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 13? | $8.0K |
| Oct 12 | BUY KT Rolster
@ 94¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality - Game 3 Winner | $3.9K |
| Oct 10 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? | $1.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7? | $6.1K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 99.48¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6? | $1.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.