Adept-Brick
0xc1265aa3d6f6c8315756bc46305f29c0f7a4832c
Adept-Brick: −$999 on 21 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 95% (95% range 77%–99%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$999
return −1.0%
Settled bets
21
$100K staked
Won
95.2%
95% range 77%–99%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- +$15
- Sep 3 – Sep 18
- +$34
- Sep 18 – Oct 2
- −$1.1K
- Oct 2 – Oct 17
- +$62
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7%
(2,007 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | BUY Juliette Mazzoni @ 99.9¢ | W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru ↗ | $10K |
| Oct 16 | BUY Juliette Mazzoni @ 99.9¢ | W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru ↗ | $10K |
| Oct 15 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will AD Ceuta win on 2026-10-01? |
Will AD Ceuta win on 2026-10-01? | $10K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Over
@ 99.9¢
Kansas vs. Utah: O/U 51.5 |
Kansas vs. Utah: O/U 51.5 | $9.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? |
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? | $10K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? |
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4? | $10K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31? |
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31? | $2.8K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 99.9¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-10-04? |
Will Morocco win on 2026-10-04? | $5.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.