Runny-Guacamole-Young
0xbfb186d4bd1980da3d4058d5ede03a22e60642b9
Runny-Guacamole-Young: +$30K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$30K
return +114.4%
Settled bets
3
$26K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 44%–100%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 7 – Sep 25
- +$6.7K
- Sep 25 – Oct 13
- +$23K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6%
(2,332 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | BUY Bills
@ 53¢
Spread: Rams (-3.5) |
Spread: Rams (-3.5) | $25K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Over
@ 52¢
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5 |
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5 | $1.3K |
| Sep 29 | BUY Yes
@ 62¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | $1.7K |
| Sep 18 | SELL Bills
@ 94¢
Lions vs. Bills |
Lions vs. Bills | $6.7K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.