Important-Willingness

0xbb255dcd8f0a4e10874e6046ebe8c9a50081cac6

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Important-Willingness: −$2.5K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$2.5K
return −100.0%
Settled bets
1
$2.5K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–79%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 1 – Oct 15
−$2.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −4.5% (2,043 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 14 BUY HANJIN BRION @ 54¢
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs $1.6K
Oct 14 BUY KT Rolster @ 39¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs $2.5K
Sep 6 BUY @ 17¢
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs AND LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs AND LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs AND LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs AND LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs $1.9K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792047640, computed 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792047640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed