Tasty-Closet-Goodwill
Skill vs luck
Tasty-Closet-Goodwill on Polymarket: 8 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 22%–79%) · profit +$2.6K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Tasty-Closet-Goodwill: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xb9eca09f0d800404e9715a003a4a6d7dbcf36f76. Data CC BY 4.0.
Tasty-Closet-Goodwill: +$2.6K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 22%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$2.6K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | BUY Team Liquid @ 38¢ | LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Gen.G @ 84¢ | LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 25 | SELL Gen.G @ 83¢ | LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $2.6K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Dplus KIA @ 77¢ | LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 25 | SELL Top Esports @ 54¢ | LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Top Esports @ 42¢ | LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 24 | BUY T1 @ 82¢ | LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Invictus Gaming @ 99.9¢ | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $4.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?