0xb7f9…fc82
Skill vs luck
0xb7f9…fc82 on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 60% (95% range 23%–88%) · profit +$8.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0xb7f9…fc82: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xb7f9e34d69a134369dd0cd4388b3cb19d4fffc82. Data CC BY 4.0.
0xb7f9…fc82: +$8.5K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- +$1.0K
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$7.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | BUY LOS @ 11¢ | LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 23 | BUY LYON @ 58¢ | LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $5.0K |
| Oct 23 | SELL LYON @ 58¢ | LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $4.9K |
| Sep 28 | SELL Broncos @ 69¢ | Rams vs. Broncos ↗ | $1.7K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Bills @ 36¢ | Chargers vs. Bills ↗ | $1.0K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?