Mealy-Itinerary

0xb77b6ef359f02192fb077227499f9f853d4870a5

Skill vs luck

Mealy-Itinerary on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 65%–100%) · profit +$778. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Mealy-Itinerary: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xb77b6ef359f02192fb077227499f9f853d4870a5. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Mealy-Itinerary: +$778 on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 65%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit

+$778

return +1.1%

Settled bets

$70K staked

Won

100.0%

95% range 65%–100%

Mostly bets on

crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period

Aug 20 – Sep 5: +$774
Sep 5 – Sep 21: +$4

Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.

Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −11.2% (2,187 positions).

Latest captured bets

When	Bet	Market	Size
Oct 22	BUY Yes @ 95¢ Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 22?	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 22?	$25K
Oct 22	BUY No @ 97¢ Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22?	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22? ↗	$25K
Oct 22	BUY Yes @ 99.24¢ Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22? ↗	$7.9K
Sep 20	BUY No @ 99.9¢ Will Ethereum dip to $2,550 on September 19?	Will Ethereum dip to $2,550 on September 19?	$4.0K
Sep 1	BUY Down @ 99.8¢ XRP Up or Down - September 1, 4PM ET	XRP Up or Down - September 1, 4PM ET	$15K
Sep 1	BUY Down @ 99¢ XRP Up or Down - September 1, 3PM ET	XRP Up or Down - September 1, 3PM ET	$24K
Aug 27	BUY Down @ 98¢ XRP Up or Down - August 27, 12PM ET	XRP Up or Down - August 27, 12PM ET	$4.2K
Aug 26	BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 26?	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 26?	$2.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?

About this data · run 1792825211, computed 2026-10-24 07:00 UTC

Source: hopium_compute run 1792825211 (PG metrics_*)

Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
latest window has the most unresolved markets
Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed