Kindhearted-Encirclement
Skill vs luck
Kindhearted-Encirclement on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 44%–100%) · profit +$12K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Kindhearted-Encirclement: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xb5b60d821300cef591b7c2a7647fd38e5ecaca29. Data CC BY 4.0.
Kindhearted-Encirclement: +$12K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- +$4.2K
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$8.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | SELL Cavaliers @ 48¢ | Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5) ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Over
@ 54¢
Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5 |
Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5 | $2.8K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Over
@ 54¢
Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5 |
Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5 | $2.4K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Cavaliers @ 48¢ | Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5) ↗ | $2.3K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Over
@ 53¢
Iceland vs. Estonia: O/U 2.5 |
Iceland vs. Estonia: O/U 2.5 | $4.2K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?