That-Salute
Skill vs luck
That-Salute on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 60% (95% range 23%–88%) · profit −$1.6K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “That-Salute: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xb4c05ebc0d242534f587730c5fa4baae152192d8. Data CC BY 4.0.
That-Salute: −$1.6K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- +$831
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$2.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Spirit @ 72¢ | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage ↗ | $3.2K |
| Oct 20 | SELL Katerina Siniakova
@ 99.9¢
Japan Women's Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Peyton Stearns |
Japan Women's Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Peyton Stearns | $3.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Olympiacos B.C.
@ 80¢
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Anadolu Efes |
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Anadolu Efes | $3.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Felipe Meligeni Alves
@ 67¢
Antofagasta: Nick Hardt vs Felipe Meligeni Alves |
Antofagasta: Nick Hardt vs Felipe Meligeni Alves | $1.6K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Team Falcons @ 96¢ | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage ↗ | $1.0K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?