Hidden-Past
Skill vs luck
Hidden-Past on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–35%) · profit −$1.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Hidden-Past: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xb0b9b8bca0e469939c2b2d88361d8234eae1df0c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Hidden-Past: −$1.4K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–35%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 18 – Oct 3
- −$1.4K
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- −$44
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | SELL FURIA Esports @ 99¢ | LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 17 | SELL MVK Esports @ 99¢ | LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $2.3K |
| Oct 17 | SELL BNK FEARX @ 99.9¢ | LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Team WE @ 99.9¢ | LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 17 | SELL BNK FEARX @ 99.9¢ | LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.8K |
| Oct 16 | SELL FURIA Esports @ 99.9¢ | LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner ↗ | $1.8K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 65¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner | $1.4K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?