Glossy-Routine

0xafe65d1671a61dfaab2b463257450ec7f1fe8192

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Glossy-Routine: −$330 on 17 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 41% (95% range 22%–64%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$330
return −2.1%
Settled bets
17
$16K staked
Won
41.2%
95% range 22%–64%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$1.6K
Sep 6 – Sep 24
−$1.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 21 SELL Yes @ 98¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21? $4.9K
Sep 21 SELL Colts @ 62¢
Colts vs. Chiefs
Colts vs. Chiefs $1.9K
Sep 20 BUY Colts @ 29¢
Colts vs. Chiefs
Colts vs. Chiefs $2.0K
Sep 20 SELL LSU @ 47¢
LSU vs. Ole Miss
LSU vs. Ole Miss $2.8K
Sep 20 BUY LSU @ 20¢
LSU vs. Ole Miss
LSU vs. Ole Miss $1.0K
Sep 20 SELL Alabama @ 94¢
Florida State vs. Alabama
Florida State vs. Alabama $1.7K
Sep 19 BUY Alabama @ 51¢
Florida State vs. Alabama
Florida State vs. Alabama $1.0K
Sep 18 SELL Yes @ 66¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18?
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18? $3.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed