Whole-Challenge
0xafde461fce5aa0fabdb7711c59db93b65e343e1d
Whole-Challenge: +$1.5K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.5K
return +59.0%
Settled bets
3
$2.6K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$1.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | BUY Yes
@ 56¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3? |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3? | $1.1K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 69¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 2? |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 2? | $1.4K |
| Sep 30 | SELL Yes
@ 99¢
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? |
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | $3.0K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yawara Esports
@ 55¢
Counter-Strike: EXODIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: EXODIA vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs | $1.4K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Thiago Seyboth Wild
@ 52¢
Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari |
Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari | $1.1K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.